Dak Prescott Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Passing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 12, 2025

Updated Nov 24, 2025 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Dak Prescott Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 241.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 244.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 241.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Cowboys are underdogs this week, indicating more of a reliance on throwing than their normal game plan.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 62.9% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.
The 10th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cowboys this year (a colossal 58.8 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Dak Prescott has attempted 36.8 passes per game this year, ranking in the 95th percentile among quarterbacks.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Cowboys are projected by the model to run just 61.6 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
The Cowboys offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the lowest clip in the league versus the Eagles defense this year (63.8% Adjusted Completion%).
This year, the stout Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to the opposing side: a feeble 7.1 yards.

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