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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

Dak Prescott Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 249.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 246.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 249.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are big -7.5-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 61.4% of their chances: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Cowboys.

The model projects Dak Prescott to attempt 36.4 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 6th-most among all QBs.

With a terrific tally of 244.0 adjusted passing yards per game (80th percentile), Dak Prescott stands among the leading QBs in football last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dallas's passing stats last year may be artificially propped up a bit (and running stats too low) as a result of playing the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We figure to be able to count on some correction with windier weather this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Eagles defense last year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.

The Cowboys O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL last year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

Last year, the tough Eagles defense has surrendered a mere 188.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing QBs: the best in the league.

The Eagles pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency last year, surrendering 6.84 adjusted yards-per-target: the fewest in the NFL.

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