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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts

Dak Prescott Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 241.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 243.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 241.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 140.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Dak Prescott has been among the most accurate QBs in the league this year with a stellar 67.1% Completion%, checking in at the 82nd percentile.

Dak Prescott has been among the most efficient passers in football this year, averaging an impressive 7.70 yards-per-target while ranking in the 79th percentile.

The Indianapolis Colts defense has been particularly weak when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 6.11 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 3rd-least in the NFL.

Dak Prescott has thrown for substantially fewer yards per game (234.0) this season than he did last season (288.0).

Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 4th-least yards in the NFL (just 207.0 per game) vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year.

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