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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Interceptions
Player Prop Week 1

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Dak Prescott Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-142/+132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +142 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are big -7.5-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 61.4% of their chances: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Cowboys.
  • The model projects Dak Prescott to attempt 36.4 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 6th-most among all QBs.
  • Dak Prescott has tallied 1.00 interceptions per game last year, checking in at the 10th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Dallas's passing stats last year may be artificially propped up a bit (and running stats too low) as a result of playing the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We figure to be able to count on some correction with windier weather this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Eagles defense last year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.
  • The Cowboys O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL last year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • Philadelphia's defense profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL last year when it comes to forcing interceptions, averaging 0.95 per game.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Philadelphia's group of CBs has been great last year, ranking as the best in football.

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