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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Las Vegas Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Dak Prescott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-167).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).
  • The Las Vegas defensive tackles rank as the worst collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 4th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 40.7% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have just 125.6 plays on offense called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

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