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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Dak Prescott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+159/-187).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -157 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -187.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Cowboys.
  • Dallas's passing stats last year may be artificially propped up a bit (and running stats too low) as a result of playing the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We figure to be able to count on some correction with windier weather this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are big -7.5-point underdogs.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to run on 38.6% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Dak Prescott to accumulate 2.3 carries in this contest, on balance: the 10th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles linebackers grade out as the 5th-best collection of LBs in the league last year with their run defense.

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