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The model projects the Bills to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.The predictive model expects the Bills to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Chiefs, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (just 29.1 per game) this year.While Curtis Samuel has earned 11.1% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a less important option in Buffalo's pass game near the end zone in this game at 6.1%.This year, the stout Chiefs defense has allowed a feeble 0.75 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing wideouts: the 9th-best rate in football.
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