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Curtis Samuel

Curtis Samuel Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Curtis Samuel Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-112/-118).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 3rd-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 26.71 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Curtis Samuel to accrue 2.8 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking in the 99th percentile among wide receivers and tight ends.
  • The Commanders are willing to include receivers in their rushing attack, and Curtis Samuel has received 13.7% of rush attempts this year (99th percentile).
  • Curtis Samuel has averaged 7.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the league among WRs and TEs (97th percentile).
  • The Washington Commanders have faced a stacked the box on just 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Commanders are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 7th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 37.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Dallas Cowboys defensive ends project as the 7th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

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