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Curtis Samuel

Curtis Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Curtis Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-152/+117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -152.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Bills to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.2% pass rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are predicted by the projections to run only 62.1 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (just 53.9 per game on average).

Curtis Samuel has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (40.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (62.8%).

Curtis Samuel's 1.8 adjusted catches per game this year signifies a substantial regression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 3.9 rate.

Curtis Samuel's possession skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 72.8% to 63.6%.

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