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Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bills offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

Curtis Samuel has been one of the most reliable receivers in football, completing an outstanding 72.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 84th percentile among WRs.

With an outstanding 4.28 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Curtis Samuel rates among the top wide receivers in the league in football in space.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 5.5 points.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 48.9% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Curtis Samuel has been a less important option in his team's pass attack this year (4.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (9.9%).

With a feeble 6.7 adjusted yards per target (9th percentile) since the start of last season, Curtis Samuel places among the weakest wide receivers in the game in the league.

More Curtis Samuel Player Props

Curtis Samuel Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11