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Curtis Samuel
NFL · Player Props
Curtis Samuel
WR · Buffalo Bills
Receiving Yards
Buffalo Bills vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 1, 2024 Updated Sep 8, 2024 4:56 PM EST
NFL Props Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards

Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the league last year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • Curtis Samuel comes in as one of the most reliable receivers in the league, completing an excellent 72.8% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, checking in at the 88th percentile among WRs.
  • The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has allowed the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.6%) versus wide receivers last year (68.6%).
  • The Arizona cornerbacks grade out as the worst group of CBs in the league last year in defending receivers.
Favors Under
  • An extreme running game script is suggested by the Bills being a huge 7-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bills as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 51.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • As far as a defense's impact on pace, at 28.35 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Bills to be the 7th-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense last year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
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