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Craig Reynolds

Craig Reynolds Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Craig Reynolds Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+3500/-9750).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -9000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -9750.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in the league.
  • Craig Reynolds has run for 0.00 touchdowns per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the smallest marks in the league among running backs (1st percentile).
  • The Bengals pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (91%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (91.0%).
  • The Bengals defense has allowed the most TDs through the air in the league to RBs: 0.75 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are a massive favorite by 10 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Lions to be the 10th-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 45.5% red zone run rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • With a bottom-tier 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) since the start of last season, Craig Reynolds stands among the pass-game running backs with the lowest utilization rates near the end zone in the NFL.

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