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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Courtland Sutton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+132/-146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +148 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 6th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 60.0% red zone pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 8th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Denver Broncos this year (a massive 60.3 per game on average).
  • The Cowboys defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.9 per game) this year.
  • While Courtland Sutton has been responsible for 17.6% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Denver's offense near the end zone in this week's game at 22.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Broncos as the 9th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • After accumulating 102.0 air yards per game last season, Courtland Sutton has gotten worse this season, now sitting at 87.0 per game.
  • Courtland Sutton's 56.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 68.1.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Dallas's collection of LBs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the worst in football. in football.

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