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Courtland Sutton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+150/-168).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +152 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (58.0% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Broncos.

The model projects the Broncos to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Broncos this year (a massive 59.6 per game on average).

Courtland Sutton ranks in the 88th percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 61.4 mark this year.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Broncos profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Broncos are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Broncos to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 28.4 per game) this year.

After accruing 102.0 air yards per game last year, Courtland Sutton has seen a big downtick this year, now boasting 92.0 per game.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-lowest clip in the NFL versus the New York Jets defense this year (68.0% Adjusted Completion%).

More Courtland Sutton Player Props

Courtland Sutton TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6