My Account Log Out

reorder

Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Philadelphia Eagles vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+178/-220).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +186 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +178.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Broncos are a 4-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 60.0% of their chances: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Broncos to be the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.7% red zone pass rate.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 129.0 offensive plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

After averaging 102.0 air yards per game last season, Courtland Sutton has regressed heavily this season, now boasting 89.0 per game.

Courtland Sutton's 60.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 68.1.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the lowest level in the league versus the Eagles defense this year (60.3% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the tough Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded a feeble 0.75 passing touchdowns per game to opposing wide receivers: the 9th-lowest rate in the league.

More Courtland Sutton Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™