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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Courtland Sutton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+220/-265).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -265.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Broncos as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.9% red zone pass rate.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Broncos are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 66.2 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week.
  • The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (a monstrous 59.5 per game on average).
  • Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Courtland Sutton has accrued far fewer air yards this season (90.0 per game) than he did last season (102.0 per game).
  • Courtland Sutton's 54.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 68.1.

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