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Courtland Sutton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+178/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +172 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +178.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (60.0% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Denver Broncos.

The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Broncos offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Courtland Sutton ranks in the 75th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a remarkable 0.33 per game.

The Washington Commanders pass defense has been gouged for the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (69.3%) versus wide receivers this year (69.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6-point advantage, the Broncos are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.

After accruing 102.0 air yards per game last year, Courtland Sutton has been a disappointment this year, currently sitting at 90.0 per game.

Courtland Sutton's 53.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 68.1.

More Courtland Sutton Player Props

Courtland Sutton TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13