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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in football (62.6% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see 135.7 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In this contest, Courtland Sutton is forecasted by the projection model to position himself in the 91st percentile among wide receivers with 8.7 targets.
  • The Denver Broncos offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Courtland Sutton's 56.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 68.1.
  • Courtland Sutton's pass-catching performance worsened this season, accumulating just 4.1 adjusted catches vs 5.1 last season.
  • The Texans pass defense has allowed the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (58.4%) vs. wide receivers this year (58.4%).
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Houston's unit has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 7th-best in football.

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