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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Giants

Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 135.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.

The 10th-most plays in the league have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (a colossal 58.5 per game on average).

The New York Giants defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (39.7 per game) this year.

This week, Courtland Sutton is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 85th percentile among wideouts with 7.4 targets.

The Denver offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 8.5-point advantage, the Broncos are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Courtland Sutton's 58.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 68.1.

Courtland Sutton's 3.9 adjusted catches per game this year reflects an impressive regression in his receiving skills over last year's 5.1 rate.

When it comes to linebackers getting after the quarterback, New York's group of LBs has been terrific this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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