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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Broncos to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Broncos this year (a massive 59.6 per game on average).

Courtland Sutton has run a route on 94.3% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs.

In this contest, Courtland Sutton is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 81st percentile among WRs with 7.5 targets.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Broncos profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Broncos are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Broncos to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 28.4 per game) this year.

Courtland Sutton's receiving skills have tailed off this year, compiling a measly 3.8 adjusted catches vs 5.1 last year.

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