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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Philadelphia Eagles vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Broncos are a 4-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 60.0% of their chances: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 129.0 offensive plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume.

The predictive model expects Courtland Sutton to garner 7.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Courtland Sutton's 60.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 68.1.

Courtland Sutton's 3.6 adjusted catches per game this season indicates a noteable drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last season's 5.1 mark.

The Eagles pass defense has given up the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (54.1%) versus wideouts this year (54.1%).

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