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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Broncos as the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Denver Broncos offense has played at the 8th-quickest tempo in football (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 27.54 seconds per play.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may decline.

In this game, Courtland Sutton is predicted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers with 7.6 targets.

Courtland Sutton's 66.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 95th percentile for WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Courtland Sutton's 52.6% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a meaningful decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 61.9% rate.

The Los Angeles Chargers safeties grade out as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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