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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-114/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 58.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in football (62.6% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see 135.7 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In this contest, Courtland Sutton is forecasted by the projection model to position himself in the 91st percentile among wide receivers with 8.7 targets.
  • The Denver Broncos offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • After accumulating 102.0 air yards per game last year, Courtland Sutton has produced significantly fewer this year, now boasting 88.0 per game.
  • Courtland Sutton's 56.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 68.1.
  • Courtland Sutton's 58.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season reflects an impressive decline in his pass-catching skills over last season's 73.0 rate.
  • Courtland Sutton's ability to pick up extra yardage has declined this season, accumulating a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 2.11 rate last season.
  • The Texans defense has surrendered the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 120.0) vs. wideouts this year.

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