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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 62.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 61.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Broncos to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Broncos this year (a massive 59.6 per game on average).
  • Courtland Sutton has run a route on 94.3% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • In this contest, Courtland Sutton is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 81st percentile among WRs with 7.5 targets.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Broncos profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Broncos to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 28.4 per game) this year.
  • After accruing 102.0 air yards per game last year, Courtland Sutton has seen a big downtick this year, now boasting 92.0 per game.
  • Courtland Sutton has put up many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (52.0) this season than he did last season (73.0).

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