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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Philadelphia Eagles vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-119/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 63.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 56.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Broncos are a 4-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 60.0% of their chances: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 129.0 offensive plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume.
  • The predictive model expects Courtland Sutton to garner 7.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • After averaging 102.0 air yards per game last season, Courtland Sutton has regressed heavily this season, now boasting 89.0 per game.
  • Courtland Sutton's 60.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 68.1.
  • Courtland Sutton's 53.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year represents a noteable drop-off in his receiving ability over last year's 73.0 figure.
  • Courtland Sutton's skills in generating extra yardage have worsened this year, totaling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 2.11 rate last year.
  • The Eagles pass defense has given up the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (54.1%) versus wideouts this year (54.1%).

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