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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-114/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 66.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are projected by the projections to run 66.0 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Bengals defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the NFL.

In this week's contest, Courtland Sutton is anticipated by the projections to rank in the 87th percentile among WRs with 8.1 targets.

When talking about air yards, Courtland Sutton ranks in the towering 99th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accumulating a monstrous 102.0 per game.

Courtland Sutton's 68.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 95th percentile for wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Broncos being a massive 7.5-point favorite this week.

The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Courtland Sutton has posted substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (43.0) this year than he did last year (73.0).

Courtland Sutton's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season signifies a substantial decline in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 2.1% rate.

The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (63.4%) to wideouts since the start of last season (63.4%).

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