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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-117/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 53.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 51.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Broncos as the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Denver Broncos offense has played at the 8th-quickest tempo in football (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 27.54 seconds per play.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may decline.

In this game, Courtland Sutton is predicted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers with 7.6 targets.

Courtland Sutton has compiled a monstrous 99.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile when it comes to WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Courtland Sutton's 52.6% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a meaningful decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 61.9% rate.

Courtland Sutton's pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this season, averaging a measly 5.60 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.85 figure last season.

With a subpar 1.94 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (9th percentile) since the start of last season, Courtland Sutton rates among the best wide receivers in the NFL in the league in the open field.

Since the start of last season, the daunting Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has given up the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing WRs: a feeble 3.7 YAC.

The Los Angeles Chargers safeties grade out as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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