My Account Log Out
 
 
Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Broncos may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling with backup QB Jarrett Stidham.
  • The Broncos are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.2% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Courtland Sutton to total 7.6 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 85th percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game against the Patriots defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • Courtland Sutton's 58.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 68.1.
  • Courtland Sutton has accrued a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (50.0) this year than he did last year (73.0).
  • Courtland Sutton's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a meaningful decrease in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 2.1% rate.
  • The New England Patriots defense has allowed the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 114.0) versus wideouts this year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™