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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-most pass-oriented team in football (64.1% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Denver Broncos.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to have only 130.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The Broncos have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.
  • The projections expect Courtland Sutton to accumulate 7.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Courtland Sutton has posted a monstrous 98.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 26.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • Courtland Sutton's 58.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 68.1.
  • Courtland Sutton has put up quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (53.0) this season than he did last season (73.0).
  • Courtland Sutton's ability to grind out extra yardage has diminished this year, totaling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 2.11 figure last year.
  • This year, the imposing Buffalo Bills defense has allowed a measly 108.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 3rd-best in the league.

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