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Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 53.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 3rd-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (64.5% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Denver Broncos.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are projected by our trusted projection set to call 67.3 total plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.

The 6th-most plays in football have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (a colossal 59.9 per game on average).

In this week's game, Courtland Sutton is expected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 89th percentile among wideouts with 7.6 targets.

Courtland Sutton has put up a staggering 104.0 air yards per game this year: 96th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Broncos being a massive 15.5-point favorite this week.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Chargers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 31.1 per game) this year.

Courtland Sutton's 59.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 68.1.

Courtland Sutton has accrued significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (56.0) this year than he did last year (73.0).

Courtland Sutton's ability to pick up extra yardage has diminished this year, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 2.11 mark last year.

More Courtland Sutton Player Props

Courtland Sutton Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 18

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18