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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 61.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 135.0 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Broncos have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.5 plays per game.
  • Our trusted projections expect Courtland Sutton to accrue 7.9 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • When it comes to air yards, Courtland Sutton ranks in the towering 95th percentile among wideouts this year, totaling a colossal 103.0 per game.
  • The Denver offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are a massive 13.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The projections expect the Broncos to be the 9th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Chiefs, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
  • Courtland Sutton's 57.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 68.1.
  • Courtland Sutton has accumulated many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (56.0) this year than he did last year (73.0).

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