My Account Log Out
 
 
Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Broncos to pass on 59.1% of their plays: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are anticipated by the projection model to call 68.3 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Broncos have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 59.4 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: most in the league.
  • In this game, Courtland Sutton is expected by the model to place in the 85th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.5 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Broncos being a 3-point favorite in this game.
  • After accumulating 102.0 air yards per game last year, Courtland Sutton has produced significantly fewer this year, now averaging 94.0 per game.
  • Courtland Sutton's 56.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 68.1.
  • Courtland Sutton has put up significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (54.0) this year than he did last year (73.0).
  • Courtland Sutton's ability to pick up extra yardage has declined this year, accumulating a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 2.11 figure last year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™