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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-114/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 58.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 56.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect Courtland Sutton to accumulate 7.5 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Courtland Sutton has notched a colossal 105.0 air yards per game last year: 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Courtland Sutton rates in the 96th percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) with a superb 69.7 mark last year.

The Broncos O-line profiles as the best in football last year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Courtland Sutton is positioned as one of the top WRs in the league last year, averaging an excellent 73.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Broncos, who are a massive favorite by 8 points.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Broncos to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in football (a measly 26.9 per game) last year.

Courtland Sutton profiles as one of the worst WRs in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 2.11 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while grading out in the 9th percentile.

More Courtland Sutton Player Props

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