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Cordarrelle Patterson

Cordarrelle Patterson Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 9

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers

Cordarrelle Patterson Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+244/-397).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +286 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +244.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the most run-centric offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 52.6% red zone run rate.

The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year at blocking for the run game.

The Los Angeles Chargers defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Atlanta Falcons have incorporated some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their plays since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 3rd-worst paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 30.10 seconds per play.

The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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