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Cordarrelle Patterson

Cordarrelle Patterson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Cordarrelle Patterson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Cordarrelle Patterson has totaled a whopping 1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 79th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This may not sound very overwhelming, but most RBs average negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Since the start of last season, the anemic Indianapolis Colts defense has been gouged for a monstrous 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 5th-worst in the league.
  • Since the start of last season, the weak Colts defense has allowed the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing RBs: a colossal 9.03 YAC.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.
  • Cordarrelle Patterson has played on 17.7% of his team's snaps this year, ranking him in the 19th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • Cordarrelle Patterson has been one of the worst pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging a measly 4.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 11th percentile among RBs.

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