Cooper Rush Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Cooper Rush

NFL · Player Props

Cooper Rush

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing TD

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Cooper Rush Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+920/-3500).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
The Cowboys have been the 8th-most run-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 50.0% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.45 seconds per play.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line profiles as the best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

Cooper Rush is not much of a rushing QB and has accounted for a measly 0.0% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s carries near the goal line this year, ranking him in the 9th percentile among quarterbacks.
Cooper Rush has rushed for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the smallest figures in the league among QBs (1st percentile).
Opposing offenses have run for the 9th-least TDs in the league (0.75 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season.
The Washington Commanders defensive ends project as the 5th-best collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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