Cooper Rush Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

NFL · Player Props

Cooper Rush

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Passing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 5:10 PM UTC

Analysis

Cooper Rush Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 229.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 226.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 229.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.45 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 2nd-most yards in the league (265.0 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.3% pass rate.
The Washington Commanders defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.73 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-least in football.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys have utilized play action on a lowly 23.6% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.