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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+225/-255).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +240 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +225.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have 134.6 offensive plays run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • Cooper Kupp's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 68.5% to 80.0%.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-highest level in the NFL vs. the Commanders defense this year (72.6% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Washington Commanders defense has conceded the 9th-most receiving touchdowns in the NFL to wide receivers: 1.00 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to be the 4th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 2nd-most run-centric offense in the league in the red zone (50.2% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Seahawks this year (just 52.7 per game on average).
  • After accruing 65.0 air yards per game last year, Cooper Kupp has regressed heavily this year, now boasting 35.0 per game.

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