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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Seattle Seahawks vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+270/-350).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -370 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -350.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In terms of a defense's influence on tempo, the Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed opposing squads to play 8th-quickest in the league (in a neutral context) this year at 27.87 seconds per play.
  • Cooper Kupp's 54.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 80th percentile for WRs.
  • Cooper Kupp's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 68.5% to 83.2%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seahawks to pass on 53.5% of their downs: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Seahawks to be the 3rd-most run-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 49.7% red zone run rate.
  • After averaging 65.0 air yards per game last season, Cooper Kupp has regressed heavily this season, currently pacing 30.0 per game.
  • The receiving TD column reads "0" on Cooper Kupp's stats page this year.

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