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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

Cooper Kupp Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+310/-315).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -395 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -315.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.80 seconds per snap.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The Cardinals defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.9 per game) since the start of last season.

With an extraordinary 16.2% Red Zone Target Rate (75th percentile) since the start of last season, Cooper Kupp stands as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume near the end zone in the NFL.

Cooper Kupp grades out in the 81st percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season with a monstrous 25.2% of his team's air yards accumulated.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offensive blueprint to skew 7.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.

At the moment, the 3rd-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (49.6% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Seattle Seahawks.

The Seattle offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

With an atrocious rate of just 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Cooper Kupp rates as one of the weakest receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to wideouts this year.

The Cardinals defense has given up the 3rd-fewest TDs through the air in the NFL to wideouts: 0.85 per game since the start of last season.

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