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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs New Orleans Saints

Cooper Kupp Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+215/-295).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +235 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +215.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to have 138.9 offensive plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.

Cooper Kupp ranks in the 82nd percentile among wideouts since the start of last season with a massive 26.0% of his team's air yards accumulated.

Cooper Kupp's 56.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 81st percentile for WRs.

Cooper Kupp's 81.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a substantial growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 68.5% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seattle Seahawks boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 6.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Seahawks, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7 points.

The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The Seahawks have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.

The Seattle Seahawks O-line ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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