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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 22

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+255/-335).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -325 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -335.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Cooper Kupp has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 20.0% this year, which ranks him in the 84th percentile among wideouts.
  • Cooper Kupp has been one of the most reliable receivers in football, catching a terrific 70.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 80th percentile among wide receivers.
  • This year, the weak New England Patriots defense has surrendered a monstrous 73.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the highest rate in the league.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.55 per game) versus the New England Patriots defense this year.
  • The Patriots safeties rank as the best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line implies a rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 4.5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 55.5% of their downs: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-most run-heavy team in the league near the goal line (50.7% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • At the moment, the 6th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Seahawks.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 26.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense this year: fewest in the league.

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