Cooper Kupp Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 21

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NFL · Player Props

Cooper Kupp

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Touchdowns

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 21, 2025

Updated Jan 25, 2026 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Cooper Kupp Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+290/-375).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -355 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -375.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to see 131.0 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
Cooper Kupp has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 20.0% this year, which puts him in the 84th percentile among wideouts.
With an impressive 70.7% Adjusted Completion% (80th percentile) this year, Cooper Kupp has been among the most reliable receivers in football when it comes to WRs.
The opposing side have rushed for the fewest touchdowns in the NFL (0.42 per game) against the Rams defense this year.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 56.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the 3rd-most run-heavy team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 50.5% red zone run rate.
The 8th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 49.2 per game on average).
Cooper Kupp has posted far fewer air yards this year (38.0 per game) than he did last year (65.0 per game).
Cooper Kupp's 39.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 58.4.