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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 21

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+290/-375).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -355 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -375.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to see 131.0 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • Cooper Kupp has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 20.0% this year, which puts him in the 84th percentile among wideouts.
  • With an impressive 70.7% Adjusted Completion% (80th percentile) this year, Cooper Kupp has been among the most reliable receivers in football when it comes to WRs.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the fewest touchdowns in the NFL (0.42 per game) against the Rams defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 56.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the 3rd-most run-heavy team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 50.5% red zone run rate.
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 49.2 per game on average).
  • Cooper Kupp has posted far fewer air yards this year (38.0 per game) than he did last year (65.0 per game).
  • Cooper Kupp's 39.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 58.4.

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