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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+360/-420).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -410 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -420.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Cooper Kupp has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 19.2% this year, which ranks him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Cooper Kupp's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 68.5% to 72.5%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 54.1% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 4th-most run-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 49.8% red zone run rate.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to call only 63.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 53.4 plays per game.

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