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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+375/-550).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -550.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense this year: 5th-most in football.
  • Cooper Kupp has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 18.0% this year, which ranks him in the 76th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Cooper Kupp's 71.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a remarkable growth in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 68.5% figure.
  • This year, the formidable Rams run defense has surrendered a mere 0.36 TDs on the ground per game to the opposing side: the smallest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks to be the 2nd-most run-centric offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 51.0% red zone run rate.
  • The 6th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (just 53.3 per game on average).
  • The forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • After totaling 65.0 air yards per game last year, Cooper Kupp has seen a big downtick this year, now pacing 36.0 per game.
  • Cooper Kupp's 37.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 58.4.

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