Cooper Kupp Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Cooper Kupp

NFL · Player Props

Cooper Kupp

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Touchdowns

Seattle Seahawks vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 15, 2025

Updated Dec 15, 2025 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Cooper Kupp Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+315/-425).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -375 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -425.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts defense has been something of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.2 per game) this year.
Cooper Kupp's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 68.5% to 71.7%.
As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Indianapolis's unit has been awful this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.

Favors Under

With a 13-point advantage, the Seahawks are a massive favorite in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on running than their usual approach.
Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Seahawks to be the 2nd-most run-centric offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 51.7% red zone run rate.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see only 126.1 plays on offense called: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week.
The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 53.1 plays per game.

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