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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+325/-370).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -340 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -370.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: 5th-most in football.
  • Cooper Kupp's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 68.5% to 80.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored this week, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the 2nd-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 50.5% red zone run rate.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 51.4 plays per game.
  • Cooper Kupp has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (35.0 per game) than he did last year (65.0 per game).
  • Cooper Kupp's 35.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 58.4.

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