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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Seattle Seahawks vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-118/+113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 128.6 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The projections expect Cooper Kupp to accumulate 6.3 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 75th percentile among wideouts.
  • Cooper Kupp's 79.6% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a meaningful boost in his receiving prowess over last season's 68.5% figure.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Houston's group of safeties has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line implies a running game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 3 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The fewest plays in the league have been called by the Seahawks this year (a lowly 51.8 per game on average).
  • Cooper Kupp's 20.0% Target Rate this season marks a material reduction in his pass attack utilization over last season's 26.4% rate.
  • Cooper Kupp's receiving performance has declined this season, notching just 3.3 adjusted catches compared to 5.5 last season.

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