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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • The model projects Cooper Kupp to accrue 6.7 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 78th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Cooper Kupp's 80.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a material gain in his receiving proficiency over last year's 68.5% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The 5th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 52.4 per game on average).
  • Cooper Kupp's 21.3% Target Rate this year conveys a significant regression in his passing attack volume over last year's 26.4% figure.
  • Cooper Kupp's 3.0 adjusted catches per game this year shows an impressive drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last year's 5.5 mark.
  • The Jaguars pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (59.5%) to wide receivers this year (59.5%).

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