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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Seattle Seahawks vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-144/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +122 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In terms of a defense's influence on tempo, the Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed opposing squads to play 8th-quickest in the league (in a neutral context) this year at 27.87 seconds per play.
  • Cooper Kupp has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 25.1% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Cooper Kupp's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 68.5% to 83.2%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seahawks to pass on 53.5% of their downs: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Cooper Kupp's play as a receiver has diminished this year, averaging just 3.0 adjusted catches compared to 5.5 last year.
  • This year, the strong Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has yielded a feeble 58.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 4th-smallest rate in football.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's collection of CBs has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

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